A massive GP gap is just around the corner

It is known that managing chronic health conditions professionally is the key success factor to increasing healthy life expectancy, supporting aging well and increasing general well-being. However, health care systems in the EU and worldwide are facing an increasing shortage of physicians, which is preventing them from offering a high level of care.

The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that the probability of dying prematurely (between the ages of 30-70) from one of the four most common chronic diseases in the EU ranges from 9% to 24%. The WHO notes that these premature deaths are largely preventable by reducing risk factors and ensuring health systems respond when needed. However, in an overloaded health care system, preventive health care is often postponed, in order to deal with more urgent problems.

HealthBook’s objective is related to the increasing global shortage of physicians, including primary care physicians (GPs). On average, a general practitioner’s manageable patient panel (patient headcount per physician) is about 1500 – 1800 patients per GP. Due to the shortage of physicians the panel has increased to 2000 patients per GP in many countries worldwide, including the EU. Without significant changes in the healthcare setup, the average patient panel per GP will reach 2600 or more by 2020.

Furthermore, in several countries GP working hours are exceeding 50 hours per week. Without significant changes, it is predicated that they will soon increase to an average of 60 hours per week.

HealthBook’s mission is to offer artificial intelligence solutions in primary care. Our solutions will enable GPs to ramp up their management capacity to cover 3000+ patient panels with a workload of no more than 40-hours per week.

All healthcare systems have been put under huge pressure due to an aging population, the increase of global population, in combination with elevated expectations of health care. Attempts to increase the volume of physicians through training has not offered the expected solution. The gap between supply and demand of health care services shows no improvement. Some countries have found a temporary solution by hiring physicians from less developed countries, however this practice pushes donor countries into an even deeper healthcare crisis and raises severe ethical questions.

One thing is certain – the world needs innovative technological solutions to combat the shortage of physicians.